LIU Shiguo

  Deputy Director of Global Macroeconomy Research Division.
  Tel: 8610 85195775; Fax: 8610 65126105
  Email: liusg6570@gmail.com




 
Research Fields and Research Interests
Fields: Statistics, Macroeconomics
Research Interests: Foreign direct investment and individual personal income distribution; 
Applied statistics; Monetary and Financial statistics; Macroeconomic modeling; Financial flow-of-funds analysis

Education
Ph.D, Economics>Statisics, Renmin University of China, 2009
MA and BA, Economics, at Renmin University of China, 1998 and 1995, respectively

Working Exprience
1998-present: Dept. of World Economic Statistics, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
August 2004 through August 2005, visiting scholar at Center for Chinese Studies, Institute of East Asia Studies, University of California, Berkeley.
September 2003: A lecture on the Latest Progress of World Statistics, at the annual meeting of Beijing Society of Statistics and Beijing Bureau of Statistics, September.
Summers, 2003, 2002 and 2001, trained by Dr. Qin Duo from Queen Mary, University of London, about Dynamic Econometrics, Panel Data Method and relative software, respectively, in Beijing.
October 2002, trained under the project funded by EU INCO with other participants from the Center of Agricultural Policy Research of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) and so on.
August to November 2001, taking part in a training course Macroeconomics for Open Economies, taught by Professor George Lamson from Carleton College, Minnesota, U.S.A.
1997-1998: People’s Bank of China (General-office, Beijing), Part-time. Compiled financial flow-of-funds account and learnt its use in macro-economic analysis.
1997: Lectures on Introductory Financial Derivations for A Tutorial on Financial Risk Management, in the Department of Statistics, Renmin University of China.
1996-1997: Ministry of Justice of P.R. China, Part-time. Took part in Statistical Analysis of Third Industry Survey of the Ministry of Justice of China and worked on the final report.
Summer, 1996: Program on China Wool Products Marketing Survey & Research, Marketing research, sampling surveys, worked on data and final report. National Wool Bureau of New Zealand sponsored the program.
Summer, 1995: Program on China’s Fuzzy Household Appliances Marketing Survey & Research, worked on data and final report. National Quality and Technology Supervision Bureau of China sponsored the program.

Papers, Chapters and Books
LIU, Shiguo (2009), Impacts of Foreign Direct Investment Inflows on China’s Income Distribution Based on Dynamic Analysis of A 1998-2007 Panel on Industrial Enterprises. Ph.D Thesis of Renmin University of China.
Qin, Duo; Marie Anne Cagas c, Geoffrey Ducanes, Xinhua He, Rui Liu, and Shiguo Liu (2009), “Effects of income inequality on China’s economic growth,” Journal of Policy Modeling, 2009, vol. 31, issue 1, pp. 69-86.
Qin, Duo; Marie Anne Cagas, Geoffrey Ducanes, Xinhua He, Rui Liu, Shiguo Liu, Nedelyn Magtibay-Ramos and Pilipinas Quising (2007), “A macroeconometric model of the Chinese economy”, Economic Modelling, Volume 24, Issue 5, September 2007, pp. 814-822.
YAO, Zhizhong and Shiguo LIU (2006), “Balance of China’s National Trade”, International Economics Review (Chinese), issue Sep.-Oct., 2006.
QIN, Duo and et al. (2006), “A Macroeconometric Model of the Chinese Economy”, Working paper No. 553 of Department of Economics, Queen Mary, University of London, March 2006. http://www.econ.qmul.ac.uk/papers/doc/wp553.pdf
QIN, Duo and et al. (2005), “Income Disparity and Economic Growth: Evidence from China”, Working paper No. 548 of Department of Economics, Queen Mary, University of London, November 2005. http://www.econ.qmul.ac.uk/papers/doc/wp548.pdf
QIN, Duo and et al. (2005), “Modeling Monetary Transmission and Policy in China”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 2005, vol. 27, issue 2, pp. 157-175.
HE, Xinhua; Haiying WU and Shiguo LIU (2003), “The Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Revaluation on Chinese Economy”, Journal of World Economy, November 2003, pp. 13-20.
HE, Xinhua; Haiying WU and Shiguo LIU (2003), “Exchange Rate Revaluation of RMB Will Only Have Short Term Negative Effects on Chinese Economy”, International Economic Review, Sep.-Oct. 2003, pp 21-23.
LIU, Shiguo (2004), “Income Disparity and Macroeconomic Growth in PRC”, an internal research report for Asian Development Bank, Aug 2004.
HE, Xinhua, Shiguo LIU, Haiying WU and Ling WANG (2004), “Chinese Quarterly Dynamic Model (China-QEM)”, paper presented at EcoMod2004:  International Conference on Policy Modeling. Paris, University of Paris I Pantheon – Sorbonne, June 30 – July 2, 2004.
LIU, Shiguo (2003), “The Methods on Seasonal Adjustment, Deduction between Quarterly Changes and Annual Changes and Annualization of Time Series”, World Economic Statistics Research. August 1, 2003.
LIU, Shiguo (2003), “Measuring New Economy”, Journal of World Economy, October 2002.
LIU, Shiguo (2001), “A Survey of Macroeconomic Modeling and Econometrics”,  Staff Paper of IWEP, CASS, October 2001.
HE, Xinhua; Shiguo LIU, Haiying WU and Ling WANG (2001), “China’s Status and Functions in International Economic Organizations”, Journal of International Trade, March 2001.
LIU, Shiguo (2000), “A Survey of Financial Flow of Funds Research”, Staff Paper of IWEP, CASS, October 2000.
LIU, Shiguo (1999), “A Survey of Flow-of-Funds Analysis”, Staff Paper of IWEP, CASS, October 1999.
LIU, Shiguo (2010), “Retrospection of World Economic Situation in 2009”, in Xinhua HE, Shiguo LIU and et al. (2010), Empirical Study of World Economy in 2010: Crisis, Policies and Effects, Chinese Finance and Economic Publishing House, pp.3-19.
LIU, Shiguo (2010), “Estimation of Employment in China’s Export sectors during 1998-2007”, in Xinhua HE, Shiguo LIU and et al. (2010), Empirical Study of World Economy in 2010: Crisis, Policies and Effects, Chinese Finance and Economic Publishing House, pp.94-104.
LIU, Shiguo (2010), “Development in and Challenges by China’s Statistics on Foreign Direct Investment”, in Xinhua HE, Shiguo LIU and et al. (2010), Empirical Study of World Economy in 2010: Crisis, Policies and Effects, Chinese Finance and Economic Publishing House, pp.211-236.
LIU, Shiguo (2010), “Raised Factor Analysis in China’s Consumer Price Index”,  in Xinhua HE, Shiguo LIU and et al. (2010), Empirical Study of World Economy in 2010: Crisis, Policies and Effects, Chinese Finance and Economic Publishing House, pp.237-245.
LIU, Shiguo (2009), “Latest Progress on Statistics of Foreign Direct Investment in the World”, in Xiaoyu SHI (2009), “Progress in World Economic and Social Statistics” (edt.), Chinese Statistic Press, pp.154-171.
LIU, Shiguo (2009), “Latest Progress on Measuring Economic Globalization”, in Xiaoyu SHI (2009), “Progress in World Economic and Social Statistics” (edt.), Chinese Statistic Press, pp.348-365.
LIU, Shiguo (2008), “A Survey on Income Distribution among Foreign Funded Enterprises in Pearl river Delta”, an internal report to Bureau of Research of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, July 2008.
LIU, Shiguo (2008), “A Survey on the Relationship of Foreign Funded Enterprises for Goods Processing to Balance of Sino-U.S. Trade”, an internal report to Bureau of Research of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, June 2008.
LIU, Shiguo (2007), “A Survey on Impacts of Foreign Direct Investment on Income Distribution in Developing Countries”，in Xiangyang Li (2007) Frontier Issues of World Economic Development, Social Science Documentation Press, pp. 349-401.
LIU, Shiguo (2009), “A Survey on Income Distribution among Foreign Funded Enterprises in Beijing-Tianjin Area”, an internal report to Bureau of Research of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Jan 2007.
LIU, Shiguo and Weijiang FENG (2009), “Evidences on the Existence of Economic Globalization, in Yuyan ZHANG (2007) Globalization and China’s Development, chapter 2, Social Science Documentation Publishing House, pp. 85-124.
LIU, Shiguo (2003), “Contributions of High-tech to Economic Growth in USA: Evidence from Information Industry”, In Chunfa WANG (ed.): New Economy: Fantasy and Truth, the Road to Recovery of Economic Powers, pp. 28-32, 108-114. Beijing: The Central Party School Publishing House, April 2003.
LIU, Shiguo (2002), The Latest Progress of World Economic Statistics (Chinese), coeditor. Beijing: Central Broadcasting and Television University Publishing House, Dec. 2002.
LIU, Shiguo (2002), “Outline of the Trend in International Trade Since WWII”, in Yongding Yu et al (ed.): Economic Globalization and Development Trend of World Economy (Chinese). Beijing: Social Science Publishing House Publishing House, September 2002, pp. 34-42.
LIU, Shiguo (2004, 2003, 2002), “Statistics on World Economics”, in Yongding Yu (ed.): Yellow-covered Book: Analysis and Forecast of World Economic Situation (Chinese, with other author), 2000-2001, 2001-2002, 2002-2003 and 2003-2004, respectively. Beijing: Social Science Publishing House Publishing House.
CHEN, Xiuying and Shiguo LIU (2001), Compendium of World Economic Statistics 2001. Beijing: Social Science Publishing House Publishing House, 2001.
HE, Xinhua, Shiguo LIU, Haiying WU and Ling WANG (2000), “China’s Status and Functions in World Economy”, Internal Report for Program of 10th Five-Year Plan of State Development, sponsored by the Ministry of Finance of China, 2000.
LIU, Shiguo (1999), “Banking in USA; Multinational Corporations in USA; Natural, Social and Cultural bases of USA Economy”, In Xiaoyu SHI and Qin TU (ed.): Analysis of American Economic Strength (Chinese), pp. 203-236、317-342 and 343-390. Beijing: Chinese National Ethical Publishing House, August 1999.
YI, Danhui, Shiguo LIU and Jinzhao TIAN (1997), “Analysis of 1995 Survey of the Industry Owned by Ministry of Law”, in Office of 1995 3rd Survey of the Industry Owned by Ministry of Law (ed.), pp. 1-49. Beijing: The Law Publishing House, 1997.

Honors and Others
6th National Statistical Science & Technology Progress Award. National Bureau of Statistics of China & National Association of Statistics of China, 2002.
Beijing Statistical Science &Technology Progress Award, First Prize. Beijing Statistical Bureau, China, 2002.
4th National Statistical Science & Technology Progress Award. National Bureau of Statistics of China & National Association of Statistics of China, 1998.
Excellent Graduate Fellowship. Renmin University of China, 1998.
Excellent Statistical Analysis Papers of Third Industry Survey (1995), First Prize. The Ministry of Justice of China, 1996.
Excellent leader of Undergraduates Fellowship. Renmin University of China, 1993.